Umb Financial Stock Performance

UMBF Stock  USD 130.97  3.01  2.35%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, UMB Financial holds a performance score of 15. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 1.18, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, UMB Financial will likely underperform. Please check UMB Financial's coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to make a quick decision on whether UMB Financial's current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in UMB Financial are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental drivers, UMB Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.35
Five Day Return
3.05
Year To Date Return
12.44
Ten Year Return
173.48
All Time Return
3.8 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0134
Payout Ratio
0.144
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.72
Dividend Date
2026-04-01
1
3 Stocks Estimated To Be Undervalued By Up To 48.3
12/19/2025
 
UMB Financial dividend paid on 2nd of January 2026
01/02/2026
2
UMB Financial Q2 2025 Earnings Transcript
01/26/2026
3
UMB Financial Corporation Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results
01/27/2026
4
UMB Financial is a Top-Ranked Value Stock Should You Buy
01/28/2026
5
UMB Financial Net Interest Margin Strengthens Bullish Earnings Narrative
01/29/2026
6
UMB Financial Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
01/30/2026
7
Disposition of 3500 shares by Kemper J Mariner of UMB Financial at 129.0558 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
8
Disposition of 388 shares by Gallagher Kevin Charles of UMB Financial at 129.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow5.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.3 B
Free Cash Flow201.1 M

UMB Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  10,858  in UMB Financial on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,239  from holding UMB Financial or generate 20.62% return on investment over 90 days. UMB Financial is currently generating 0.3262% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.649% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than UMB, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days UMB Financial is expected to generate 2.19 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.19 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

UMB Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of UMB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 130.97 90 days 130.97 
about 1.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UMB Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.84 (This UMB Financial probability density function shows the probability of UMB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.18 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, UMB Financial will likely underperform. Additionally UMB Financial has an alpha of 0.2434, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   UMB Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for UMB Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UMB Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
130.45132.10133.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
117.87146.11147.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
129.47131.12132.77
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
132.33145.42161.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UMB Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UMB Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UMB Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UMB Financial.

UMB Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UMB Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UMB Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UMB Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UMB Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.18
σ
Overall volatility
7.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

UMB Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UMB Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UMB Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 UMB Financial paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 388 shares by Gallagher Kevin Charles of UMB Financial at 129.3 subject to Rule 16b-3

UMB Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UMB Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UMB Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UMB Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding76.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments952.5 M

UMB Financial Fundamentals Growth

UMB Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of UMB Financial, and UMB Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on UMB Stock performance.

About UMB Financial Performance

By analyzing UMB Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into UMB Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if UMB Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if UMB Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.07 

Things to note about UMB Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about UMB Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for UMB Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 94.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 UMB Financial paid $ 0.43 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Disposition of 388 shares by Gallagher Kevin Charles of UMB Financial at 129.3 subject to Rule 16b-3
Evaluating UMB Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate UMB Financial's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing UMB Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether UMB Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining UMB Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating UMB Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of UMB Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of UMB Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into UMB Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating UMB Financial's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact UMB Financial's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running UMB Financial's price analysis, check to measure UMB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UMB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of UMB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UMB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UMB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UMB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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